Studiu NASA: Conflictul dintre săraci și bogați va arunca civilizația în colaps
Un studiu finanţat de Centrul Spaţial Goddard al NASA menţioneză că civilizaţia industrială în care trăim ar putea ajunge într-o fază de colaps, privind situaţia din punct de vedere istoric şi statistic. Problemele ar fi consumul de resurse şi inechitatea socială.
Studiul cerut de NASA a analizat folosind modelul HANDY modul cum au decăzut civilizaţiile complexe. “Căderea Imperiului Roman şi a Imperiului Mongol, Maur sau Gupta, dar şi a Imperiului Mesopotamian sunt dovezi că civilizaţiile avansate, sofisticate şi complexe pot fi fragile şi efemere”, se arată în studiul citat de “The Guardian”. Proiectul a identificat câţiva factori care trebuie luaţi în calcul – populaţia, clima, apa, agricultura şi energia. Aceşti factori pot duce la colaps dacă generează două caracteristici sociale. Studiul aminteşte de consumul excesiv de resurse care pune presiune pe capacitatea ecologică şi stratificarea economică în Elite şi Mase (bogaţi şi săraci). Aceste fenomene sociale ar fi jucat un rol esenţial în colapsul altor imperii în ultimii 5.000 de ani, scrie adevarul.ro.
“Surplusul acumulat nu este distribuit echilibrat în societate, dar e controlat de o elită. Marea masă, cea care produce bogăţia, are alocată doar o porţiune mică, sub nivelul de subzistenţă”, mai arată studiu. Potrivit acestuia, reflectând la realitatea lumii de astăzi, la avansul tehnologiei şi eficientizarea agriculturii şi industriei, colapsul este un lucru dificil de evitat. “Civilizaţia este pe o linie stabilă, dar chiar şi dacă ar fi o situaţie optimă, Elitele consumă prea mult, iar Masele ar putea fi condamnate la foamete, ceea ce duce la colapsul societăţii”, se arată într-unul dintre scenariile NASA.
Studiul finanţat ce centrul Goddard arată că Elitele nu vor simţi prea devreme această problemă a societăţii, deoarece ea va veni încet, încet dinspre masele de oameni. Acestea vor avea din ce în ce mai multe probleme, iar, în definitiv, vor trage toată societatea după ele. Romanii şi mayaşii considerau că nu vor avea niciodată probleme, dacă ne bazăm pe elite, dar societăţile au intrat în colaps şi au dispărut. Cercetătorii menţionează că scenariile nu sunt inevitabile şi politici structurale ar putea modifica traiectoria societăţii. Practic, NASA doreşte eliminarea inegalităţilor economice şi o distribuţie mai echilibrată a resurselor. Studiul este foarte teoretic şi bazat pe modele matematice, dar ridică o problemă serioasă.
sursa: realitatea.net
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