VIITORUL SOCANT AL PRETULUI GAZULUI !
Autoritatile romane au propus un proiect de calendar, care a fost agreat cu institutiile financiare internationale, privind eliminarea preturilor reglementate la gaze pana la 31 decembrie 2014 pentru consumatorii industriali si pana la 31 decembrie 2018 pentru consumatorii casnici, potrivit unui document obtinut din surse guvernamentale. In cazul in care se vor constata diferente semnificative intre pretul de comercializare a productiei interne si pretul european de import care ar putea periclita stabilitatea pietei, termenul pentru consumatorii industriali va fi extins cu un an, pana pe 31 decembrie 2015. Autoritatile se bazeaza pe diversificarea pana in 2018 a surselor de gaze, printre care si gazele de sist. Practic, Chevron va extrage gazul Romaniei la niste costuri de aproximativ 130 $/1.000 mc si ni-l va vinde noua romanilor, proprietarilor de drept, cu aprox. 400 $/1.000 mc. Statului ii va reveni din acesti 400 $, o redeventa de 3,5%, adica 14 $/1.000 mc.
Asta inseamna ca romanii vor plati un pret aproape triplu pentru factura de gaz pentru ca Chevron sa obtina un profit URIAS din exploatarea gazului ROMANESC !!!!
Statul roman se va alege cu “praful de pe toba”…
Concomitent cu liberalizarea, se va produce o cresterea graduala a pretului de comercializare pe piata romaneasca a productiei interne de gaze in raport cu pretul gazelor din import.
- Pretul productiei interne se va majora de la 45.7 lei/Mwh cat este in prezent la 119 lei/MWh, ceea ce inseamna aproape triplarea pretului.
In vederea atingerii convergentei intre pretul intern si cel european de import, vor avea loc ajustari trimestriale ale pretului final. Autoritatile romane iau in calcul la intocmirea calendarului o reducere treptata a pretului gazelor din import. Pentru consumatorii industriali, convergenta preturilor intern/import se va asigura in 2014 la un pret estimat al gazelor din import de 380 USD/1000 mc, acesta ramanand constant pentru consumatorii casnici pana in 2018. Autoritatile considera ca sursele de import vor fi diversificate, fapt care ar determina o scadere progresiva a preturilor la gazele importate de la aproape 500 dolari/mia de metri cubi in prezent la 380 dolari/mia de metri cubi in 2014.
Gradul de convergenta este calculat ca raport intre pretul productiei interne si pretul gazelor din import.
Propunerea de calendar pentru consumatorii casnici
- 1 iulie 2013: grad de convergenta (36%), pret productie interna (49,8 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (8%)
- 1 octombrie 2013: grad de convergenta (37%), pret productie interna (68,3 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (2%)
- 1 ianuarie 2014: grad de convergenta (38%), pret productie interna (50,6 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (2%)
- 1 aprilie 2014: grad de convergenta (41%), pret productie interna (51,8 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (2%)
- 1 iulie 2014: grad de convergenta (44%), pret productie interna (55,3 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 octombrie 2014: grad de convergenta (46%), pret productie interna (54,6 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 ianuarie 2015: grad de convergenta (47%), pret productie interna (56,1 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (2%)
- 1 aprilie 2015: grad de convergenta (49%), pret productie interna (58,9 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 iulie 2015: grad de convergenta (52%), pret productie interna (62 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (4%)
- 1 octombrie 2015: grad de convergenta (54%), pret productie interna (64,1 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 ianuarie 2016: grad de convergenta (56%), pret productie interna (67,1 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 aprilie 2016: grad de convergenta (60%), pret productie interna (71,7 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 iulie 2016: grad de convergenta (64%), pret productie interna (76,5 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 octombrie 2016: grad de convergenta (66%), pret productie interna (78,5 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 ianuarie 2017: grad de convergenta (69%), pret productie interna (82 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (2%)
- 1 aprilie 2017: grad de convergenta (73%), pret productie interna (86,9 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (2%)
- 1 iulie 2017: grad de convergenta (78%), pret productie interna (93 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (5%)
- 1 octombrie 2017: grad de convergenta (81%), pret productie interna (96,5 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 ianuarie 2018: grad de convergenta (83%), pret productie interna (99,2 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 aprilie 2018: grad de convergenta (89%), pret productie interna (106,3 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 iulie 2018: grad de convergenta (97%), pret productie interna (115,1 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 octombrie 2018: grad de convergenta (100%), pret productie interna (119 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
Propunerea de calendar pentru consumatorii industriali
- 1 decembrie 2012: grad de convergenta (35%), pret productie interna (49 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (5%)
- 1 aprilie 2013: grad de convergenta (40%), pret productie interna (55,3 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (5%)
- 1 iulie 2013: grad de convergenta (47%), pret productie interna (63,4 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (5%)
- 1 octombrie 2013: grad de convergenta (51%), pret productie interna (68,3 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (3%)
- 1 ianuarie 2014: grad de convergenta (55%), pret productie interna (72 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (4%)
- 1 aprilie 2014: grad de convergenta (71%), pret productie interna (89,4 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (5%)
- 1 iulie 2014: grad de convergenta (91%), pret productie interna (109 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (5%)
- 1 octombrie 2014: grad de convergenta (100%), pret productie interna (119 lei/MWh), crestere pret final (4%)
Liberalizarea integrala a pietei gazelor a fost aminata an de an din 2007 incoace, fiind un subiect extrem de sensibil pentru toate guvernele. Liberalizarea pe piata gazelor este mult mai complicata decat cea pe piata energiei din cauza diferentelor extrem de mari dintre preturile gazelor din intern si cele din import. Cunoscand efectele asupra preturilor la consumatorii finali, autoritatile au impins aceasta liberalizare pana la limita, adica pana cand Romania a ajuns in pragul Curtii Europene de Justitie. Practic, Romania a evitat cat a putut sa se conformeze principiilor Uniunii Europeane de creare a unei piete unice pe gaze.
La curent electric pretul a ajuns deja la nivelul prognozat si nu mai sint asteptate scumpiri majore.
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